Amongst the devastation…

As with all of you, my heart breaks for the devastation we have witnessed with the fires in Southern California. If you personally haven’t been affected, I’m sure you know someone who has.

In the midst of the heartache and loss, we are witnessing communities and strangers coming together to help each other. Countless pictures and videos show how neighbors are stepping in to help, even if it’s just to hug someone staring at their destroyed home.

Surreal, tragic and devastating- let the healing begin and outpouring of love and giving continue.

If you have personally been affected by the fires and in need of supplies, clothes or anything, please reach out to me personally.

Onto the market update…

The stock market continues to rally with the continued forward movement on tax reform. Although, it has been determined by many experts, that the tax savings for most Americans will not be significant, the potential benefit to the economy will be corporate expansion that comes from business tax savings.

With an improved corporate climate, the stock market should continue to rise, putting more and more money into people’s retirement accounts. The big question is…will the corporate growth and economic stimulus be enough to offset the increased debt the country will incur under this tax plan? (Most experts believe it will not, which essentially means that we are trading one economic problem for another)

Mortgage Application Activity:

In a nice surprise, mortgage activity for the week ending December 1st jumped for both purchases and refinancing. Even though mortgage rates were little changed, purchase applications rose 2.0 percent and refinances leaped higher by 9.0 percent. More than likely the impending rate increase by the Fed next week is playing a role in the increased refinance activity. Many consumers appear to be trying to get locked into a rate before the Fed takes action at the FOMC meeting. Even though mortgage rates don’t necessarily move in lock-step with the Fed rate adjustments, consumers seem to be trying to play it safe.

Employment:

First time jobless claims continue to remain extremely low despite the expected increase in claims coming from Puerto Rico. The latest tally of 236,000 first time claims keeps unemployment concerns way down as the latest numbers continue to remain at or near historic lows.

The latest data on national employment is that unemployment remain the same at 4.1 percent. Essentially this number represents full employment in the eyes of the government and business. In fact, may businesses continue to talk about their frustrations in trying to find qualified candidates to fill open positions. More than likely as the labor shortage continues, income growth will likely rise in 2018.

Next week’s potential market moving reports are:

 

  • Monday December 11th – Job Openings and Labor Turnover Report (JOLTS)
  • Tuesday December 12th – FOMC Meeting Begins, Producer Price Index
  • Wednesday December 13th – FOMC Announcement, MBA Applications, CPI
  • Thursday December 14th – First Time Jobless Claims, Retail Sales
  • Friday December 15th – Industrial Production

As your mortgage and real estate professional, I am happy to assist you with any information you may need regarding mortgage or real estate trends. I welcome the opportunity to serve you in any way I possibly can.  Please feel free to reach me at 661-618-1789.

 

The World Series…and your market update

I’m not typically one to watch all baseball games, but I did get caught up in the World Series! Sorry to see our Dodgers lose, but they did put up a great fight! Although, in game 7, it seems they lost their mojo.

With all the devastation in Houston the last few months, I’m happy their team could bring them some joy, so if we had to lose to someone, I’m glad it was to the Astros.

Here’s to next year and all of its possibilities…to the Dodgers and to you!

 Onto the market update…

The likelihood of a December Fed rate increase is very probably based upon the latest Fed announcement. On Wednesday, the Fed stated they have upgraded the status of the economy from “rising moderately” to “rising at a solid rate”. The Fed indicated that the labor market continues to strengthen, and that even though inflation remains stubbornly low, there are many positive economic factors that make a December rate increase likely to occur.

Case-Shiller Home Price Index:

Home prices continue to rise steadily. The most recent data shows home prices rising 0.5 percent for the month of August in the 20-city adjusted index. Home prices compared to the same time last year are higher by 5.9 percent. This is the largest year-on-year growth spread we have seen in the last 3 years.

Construction Spending:

Spending on the construction of residential homes, although basically unchanged for September, is now 9.6 percent higher than the same time last year. Spending on new single-family and multi-family homes increased in the month by 0.2 and 6.0 percent respectively. Interestingly is that spending on home improvements declined 0.6 percent. This is likely to change in that many mortgage and banking professionals have indicated that they have seen more homeowners making inquiries on obtaining Home Equity Lines of Credit.

Mortgage Rates and Applications:

Purchase applications fell by a seasonally adjusted 1.0 percent for the week ending October 27th. This is the second week of application declines, in what could be a possible reaction to the uptick in mortgage rates. Refinancing applications declined by 5.0 percent. Refi’s are always far more sensitive to slight movements in mortgage rates. Purchase applications represent 51.3 percent of all loan activity.

First Time Jobless Claims:

 Claims remain very near historic lows – down to 229,000. The devastation in Puerto Rico was expected to increase the overall number, however other areas of the country are countering the increase with an improved labor market and lower claims.

Next week’s potential market moving reports are:

 

  • Tuesday November 7th – Job Opening and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS)
  • Wednesday November 8th – MBA Mortgage Applications
  • Thursday November 9th – First Time Jobless Claims
  • Friday November 10th – Consumer Sentiment

As your mortgage and real estate professional, I am happy to assist you with any information you may need regarding mortgage or real estate trends. I welcome the opportunity to serve you in any way I possibly can.  Please feel free to reach me at 661-618-1789.

What is your great work?

Today I felt the need to send an inspirational quote about work. This resonated with me, as I love what I do in helping people experience their dreams coming true – purchasing a place to call home.

“Your work is going to fill a large part of your life, and the only way to be truly satisfied is to do what you believe is great work. And the only way to do great work is to love what you do. If you haven’t found it yet, keep looking. Don’t settle. As with all matters of the heart, you’ll know when you find it.”

– Steve Jobs

I hope you found your great work!

Onto the market update…

In a nice turnaround, home builders are once again very bullish on the housing market. In the latest data, which is released by The National Association of Home Builders from their member survey, the index jumped four points all the way back up to 68. The strength in the index is optimism of future sales along with continuing growth of current sales. Traffic continues to be lower than builders would like, however the only component that seems to be missing is first time buyers. Existing home owners and previous owners make up the bulk of the traffic and purchases of new construction.

Mortgage Rates and Applications:

Mortgage rates remained essentially flat for the week ending October 13th, however applications for purchases and refinances increased. Purchase application rose a seasonally adjusted 4.0 percent. Refinances went up by 3.0 percent. Purchase applications continue to make up more than 50% of all loan activity, and remain higher from the same time last year by 9.0 percent.

Housing Starts:

The latest news for new housing is mixed. Permits for single-family construction rose 2.4 percent to an annualized rate of 819,000. Permit activity for this market segment is up 9.3 percent from the same time last year. Single family activity is the major component in which the strength of housing is judged. This is translating into more available inventory which will likely continue to support housing growth in the coming months.

The weakness in the latest report is permits for multi-family units. Here we see that permits have declined by 16.1 percent to a rate of 396,000. This is a whopping 24.0 percent below activity at the same time last year.

Industrial Production:

Industrial production was essentially flat for the month of September. With only a .3 percent growth, this continues to create uncertainty for the Fed in deciding what action to take on interest rates in the coming months.

One of the things that creates questions about this latest report is that the private reports by Empire State and ISM show significant manufacturing growth.

Next week’s potential market moving reports are:

 

  • Wednesday October 25th – MBA Mortgage Applications, FHFA HPI, New Home Sales
  • Thursday October 26th – First Time Jobless Claims, Pending Home Sales
  • Friday October 27th – GDP

As your mortgage and real estate professional, I am happy to assist you with any information you may need regarding mortgage or real estate trends. I welcome the opportunity to serve you in any way I possibly can.  Please feel free to reach me at 661-618-1789.

 

How I get past the sadness…and your market update

I’ve been struggling the last few weeks, trying to take in all the tragedies that have hit our country in the last few months. Between the hurricanes, earthquakes, the horror in Las Vegas and now the devastating fires in Anaheim and Northern California, it’s too much to take in.

My heart goes out to all those affected by this and I pray for their healing, courage and strength.

When I find myself feeling overwhelmed by the sadness and loss, I shift my focus to the heroism and hope that I also see during these times. It warms my heart to know that we are people of love, compassion and strength and during these difficult times, we help each other. Strangers help strangers, we lift each other up (quite literally as witnessed in Vegas) and we give.

We give money, prayers, hugs, love, time, energy and whatever we can to help those hurting. This is what I focus on- the love and compassion that is the true spirit of our country. I hope this is your focus as well.

Onto the market update…

The Stock Market and the Fed:

Employment is very strong, and investors continue to ride the wave of growing stock values. The stock market did lose some momentum this week as many investors have taken their recent profits out of the market. Additionally, President Trump’s proposed changes to the tax code has many investors evaluating how they believe these proposed changes will impact corporate profits. As important in the evaluation, are investors beliefs on which proposed changes are likely to get passed.

Mortgage Rates and Applications:

After two recent weeks of application growth, purchase applications for the week ending October 6th came in flat. There is strength in the application data in that compared to the same time last year, purchase applications are higher by 7.0 percent. Refinancing is down to 49 percent of loan applications.

FOMC Minutes

 Based upon the latest reading of the FOMC minutes, it appears that the Fed is still struggling with what action to take relating to interest rates. As some of the members believe strongly in bumping rates up in December, there are other members who feel adamant that inflation is not yet high enough to support a rate increase. In evaluating the Fed minutes, one thing that is clear is many board members appear to be stymied by the fact that inflation continues to remain so low. The feeling from the members is that with the labor market essentially being at full employment, inflation pressures should have increased.

 The Latest on Inflation

A week after the Fed meeting and their focus being on the lack of inflation, reports for the Producer Price Index and the Consumer Price Index were released. Coming off the analysis from the Fed that inflation is too low, prices on the wholesale level jumped by 0.4 percent for the month of September. This increase was more than experts predicted. Caution that has to be applied to this increase in that some of it is related to the recent storm damage in Texas, Florida and Puerto Rico.

Inflation on the retail level increased by 0.5 percent in September. This, just like the wholesale data, was higher than anticipated. Storm damage is part of the reason, however underlying fundamentals may be pointing to an overall upward trend in inflation. This latest report increases the likelihood of the Fed increasing rates in December.

Next week’s potential market moving reports are:

 

  • Tuesday October 17th – Industrial Production, Housing Market Index
  • Wednesday October 18th – MBA Mortgage Applications, Housing Starts
  • Thursday October 19th – First Time Jobless Claims
  • Friday October 20th – Existing Home Sales

As your mortgage and real estate professional, I am happy to assist you with any information you may need regarding mortgage or real estate trends. I welcome the opportunity to serve you in any way I possibly can.  Please feel free to reach me at 661-618-1789.

 

Stop listening to the negative noise!

I absolutely love working with first time home-buyers. I think the most rewarding part is watching them realize a dream come true. I love coaching them through the process, which removes much of the fear and unknown.

There is so much “news” about how difficult it is to get a loan and unless you have 20% down payment you can’t qualify. NOT TRUE!!! We have all types of loans, with different down payment options.

Don’t listen to the negative noise. Call me so we can review your personal situation!

Happy Weekend!

Onto the market update…

There are no surprises in the latest comments from Janet Yellen’s testimony on Wednesday. The Fed continues to have the intention to begin tapering the Fed balance sheet and also instituting a number of rates hikes over the next few years. Yellen repeated that inflation is being held down for a number of unusual factors. Cell phones, drugs and gasoline prices are remaining abnormally low and upward pressure to increase prices has been met with consumer backlash. Additionally, inflationary pressure has not responded to the strong employment environment. It appears that consumers, despite how well the job market may be, are continuing to remain frugal in their shopping choices. The internet has made it very easy to comparison shop and purchase from the lowest retailers. Mortgage Bankers Association Loan Application Weekly Data

In a complete reversal of fortune, mortgage applications for both purchases and refinances turned negative for the week ending July 7th. Purchase applications declined a seasonally adjusted 3.0 percent. Refinances plummeted 13.0 percent to the lowest point since January 2017.

The concerning part about this recent data is that the adjustment for loan activity was based upon the 4th of July Holiday. When that holiday adjustment factor is removed, purchase applications declined a whopping 22.0 percent from the prior week. Loan applications are higher from the same time last year by only 3.0 percent.

JOLTS Report (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey) & First Time Jobless Claims

It appears that employers are finally starting to catch up on their hiring. The most recent JOLTS report shows that job openings declined by 5.0 percent in May, and hiring increased by 8.3 percent. The current pace of hiring is a new record and the current opening is the second lowest level this year.

Initial first time jobless claims continue to remain at or near historic lows. The latest claim number of 247,000 remains far below the benchmark amount of 300,000.

Producer Price Index

Inflation on the wholesale level continues to remain extremely low. The month of June only showed an increase of 0.1 percent. This once again creates a challenge for the Fed to raise interest rates.

Next week’s potential market moving reports are:

 

  • Monday July 17th – Empire State Manufacturing Survey
  • Tuesday July 18th – Housing Market Index
  • Wednesday July 19th – MBA Mortgage Applications, Housing Starts
  • Thursday July 20th – First Time Jobless Claims, Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index

As your mortgage and real estate professional, I am happy to assist you with any information you may need regarding mortgage or real estate trends. I welcome the opportunity to serve you in any way I possibly can.  Please feel free to reach me at 661-618-1789.

 

Do you know anyone “starting over?”

After going through a divorce many years ago, I realized there weren’t many tools for those “starting over.” In the midst of an emotionally chaotic time, I found some peace knowing I knew how to handle my finances.

Many people, especially women, aren’t that lucky. I want to change this.

As a result, I am starting a podcast series, for those starting over. Whether it’s a divorce, death of a spouse, bankruptcy or foreclosure, these life changing events are life altering.

I’m super excited about bringing you some great resources- I’ll be interviewing a CPA, Financial Planner, Estate Planning Attorney, Divorce Attorney, Money Manager, Life Coach, Personal Trainer and more. Of course, I’ll be discussing the home buying/loan process as well, for those wanting to purchase a home.

My hope is to inspire and empower those starting over and give them tools to help with finances, fitness, emotional healing, asset protection and more. I’ll also be sharing a bit of my story along the way.

Check out my podcasts here, but make sure to check back often and share with anyone starting over! I’ll be adding interviews on a regular basis!

 Onto the market update…

Why should the Fed be any different than the rest of the United States Government?

 Everyone already knows that Congress could not be more divided. Well…the Fed appears to be divided as well. The latest FOMC Minutes show that many policy makers want the Fed to start unwinding the Fed’s balance sheet that has grown to enormous proportions ever since the great recession. However, there are some policy makers that are steadfast in wanting to hold off until later in the year to begin this process.

The labor market continues to remain red hot with more jobs available than qualified applicants to fill them. The challenge that exists to the Fed is that inflation continues to remain ultra-low and making changes to economic policy could cause unintended consequences of hurting the economy.

Given that there continue to be a number of mixed economic reports, as of late, it seems that many analysts are shying away from predicting when the Fed will make the next rate hike or begin to unwind the bloated balance sheet.

Mortgage Bankers Association Loan Application Weekly Data

Purchase applications finally turned higher for the week ending June 30th. According to the MBA applications for purchase loans rose 3.0 percent from the prior week. This reverses the previous decline of 4.0 percent from the week before. Refinance applications were virtually unchanged. Purchase applications remain 6.0 percent higher than the same time last year.

Manufacturing

ISM’s manufacturing index indicates the fire in the sector has returned. The latest report for June is at a level of 57.8. This is higher than experts were predicting and shows that demand for production is strong. This is the strongest report since August of 2014.

Non-Manufacturing

ISM’s non-manufacturing index, which reports on services, construction, mining, forestry, fishing, and hunting, also showed a strong gain in June. The index jumped from 56.9 to 57.4 and demonstrates that these areas of the economy continue to maintain solid growth as well with no signs of slowing.

Next week’s potential market moving reports are:

 

  • Monday July 10th – Labor Market Conditions Index
  • Tuesday July 11th – JOLTS Report
  • Wednesday July 12th – MBA Mortgage Applications
  • Thursday July 13th – First Time Jobless Claims, Producer Price Index
  • Friday July 14th – Consumer Price Index, Retail Sales, Industrial Production

As your mortgage and real estate professional, I am happy to assist you with any information you may need regarding mortgage or real estate trends. I welcome the opportunity to serve you in any way I possibly can.  Please feel free to reach me at 661-618-1789.

Happy 4th!

Happy long weekend!! Are you one of the lucky ones taking Monday off too? Nothing like a 4-day weekend to decompress and recharge the batteries!

I’ll be heading to the beach tomorrow for some family time and to escape this heat! The rest of the weekend will be low key for me, which is a welcome change!

I hope you have an absolutely wonderful weekend and allow yourself to rest and recharge. Stay safe on the roads! Happy Independence Day!!

Please feel free to call me if you have any loan questions or to get pre-approved!

 Onto the market update…

In recent weeks, I have been mentioning how the Summer and Fall housing markets are being predicted, by some experts, to be far above average. We should hope they are correct on account that the early Spring market was a rather large disappointment.

The latest Case-Shiller’s home price index increased by a rather small 0.3 percent in April. In February, home prices were up by 6.0 percent from the same time in the prior year. However, for the month of March, the year-on-year rate slipped back down to 5.7 percent. This is the first reversal in year-on-year spread in a very long time,

To the surprise of many, San Francisco home prices dropped 0.6 percent in the month. Boston was down by 0.7 percent and Cleveland declined by 1.0 percent. Not surprising, is Seattle leading the country with a year-on-year spread up by 12.9 percent.

Mortgage Bankers Association Loan Application Weekly Data

For the week ending June 23rd, purchase applications for home mortgages dropped by a seasonally adjusted 4 percent. The unadjusted level is actually 8 percent higher than the level in the same week a year ago. Refinancing plummeted 9 percent from the prior week, with the refinance share of mortgage activity declining to 45.6 percent of all originations.

Pending Home Sales

May was the 3rd month in a row of decline with a jaw dropping 0.8 percent. This is in direct contrast to expert predictions of a 0.5 percent gain. The weakness in the housing market is spread evenly throughout regions across the country. The West, usually the strongest market, declined by 1.3 percent, which was the largest decline recorded for the month. Although the data on final home sales does not always move in lock-step with the pending home sales data, this most recent report could prove troubling for future final sales data.

Next week’s potential market moving reports are:

 

  • Monday July 3rd – ISM Mfg Index, Construction Spending
  • Tuesday July 4th – Independence Day Celebration – All Markets Closed
  • Wednesday July 5th – MBA Mortgage Applications, Factory Orders, FOMC Minutes
  • Thursday July 6th – First Time Jobless Claims, ADP Employment Report
  • Friday July 7th – National Employment Situation

As your mortgage and real estate professional, I am happy to assist you with any information you may need regarding mortgage or real estate trends. I welcome the opportunity to serve you in any way I possibly can.  Please feel free to reach me at 661-618-1789.

 

The way I up my game…

I recently hired a Personal Trainer to up my game in the gym. I was hesitant, as I’ve been working out since college and actually got certified myself as a trainer back in the 80’s. I figured I knew it all.

Boy, was I wrong. She is kicking my &%^*. She has me doing routines that reach the muscle in a way I wasn’t doing on my own. And, no cheating with her! What’s up with that? 🙂

Last week, after our workout, my arms were shaking so badly I could hardly wash my hair! I loved it, as I knew we took my body to failure…or really success.

No matter where we are in life, we can always use the help of a coach or trainer to help us “up our game.” We all have room to grow and learn, and I personally love this journey of a deeper self-discovery. I hope it makes me a better parent, mortgage advisor, writer, friend, sister and daughter.

Sometimes it hurts, in this case physically for me, and sometimes it hurts emotionally. But, in the end, the work we do on ourselves makes the world a better place.

I recently heard Oprah make a profound statement that truly resonated with me. So much so, I wrote it down and look at it daily. She said, “your legacy is every life you touch.”

Let that sink in for a minute…

Onto the market update…

After recent reports on housing that have been less than stellar, this week’s reports show that the tide may be turning. From home prices, to existing sales, to loan applications for purchases, things seem to be improving.

May’s existing homes sales report showed a very solid increase of 1.1 percent. This is a complete turnaround from the prior month’s decline of 2.5 percent. Single-family sales increased by 1.0 percent to an annual rate of 4.980 million. Condo sales also increased by 1.6 percent to a 640,000 rate. Another positive in the housing report is the significant increase in supply. With prices moving higher, more homes are coming into the market.

As I mentioned last week, homeowners are finally recognizing the increase in their home value creating the desire to cash out by selling. Inventory increased from 1.960 million from 1.920 million in April and 1.800 million in March. Sales have been increasing each month as well, which reinforces the fact that there is a ton of pent up demand.

The West remains super-hot with sales up by 3.4 percent for the month of May. They are also higher by 3.4 percent from the same time last year. The South had the second strongest increase by percentage with a rise of 2.2 percent for the month. The region is higher than the same time last year by 4.5 percent. The Northeast, which had been lagging, is showing life for the first time in a long time with sales up 6.8 percent. The Midwest continues to struggle with being the only negative sales market with a decline of 5.9 percent. Although the year started out strong, but then mostly slowed during the Spring selling season, life seems to be returning to the housing market now. As mentioned a few weeks ago, there are some experts talking about the late summer and fall real estate market being far stronger than normal.

Home prices also jumped according the Federal Housing Finance Agency. April home prices rose 0.7 percent. March was also revised upward to reflect a 0.7 percent increase. The year-on-year rate is up 4 tenths to 6.8 percent which is the best showing in 3 years. The Mountain region continues to be the strongest market with home prices being 8.9 percent higher than the same time last year. The South is the second strongest market for home values rising with an increase of 8.0 percent. The Pacific, which has always seemed to be leading the way, dropped into 3rd place with a still very respectable increase of 7.5 percent. Next week’s potential market moving reports are:

  • Monday June 26th – Durable Goods Orders
  • Tuesday June 27th – Case-Shiller HPI, Consumer Confidence
  • Wednesday June 28th – MBA Mortgage Applications, Pending Home Sales
  • Thursday June 29th – First Time Jobless Claims, GDP
  • Friday June 30th – Personal Income and Outlays

As your mortgage and real estate professional, I am happy to assist you with any information you may need regarding mortgage or real estate trends. I welcome the opportunity to serve you in any way I possibly can.  Please feel free to reach me at 661-618-1789.

 

Traveling the world without leaving Disneyland!

Last week I went to Disneyland, as part of my “staycation.” Although I have season passes, every trip is a blast. I guess that’s the kid in me.

My all-time favorite ride at California Adventure is the “Soaring” ride, where you soar over different parts of the world, while safely sitting in your seat. I wish that ride would be much longer, as I want to experience more and more! Have you been on that ride? If not, you must go!

It reminds me of how vast this world is- how complex, yet how simple. The breathtaking views and countless places to visit make me hungry for more. I’m not particularly fond of flying, but I think I need to push past this discomfort and see more of our beautiful earth!

Happy Father’s Day to all you Dad’s! I hope you have a wonderful day, surrounded by those you love!

Onto the market update…

I remember a time that the stock market would go wild in the days leading up to a Fed announcement about interest rates. This week at the FOMC meeting, the Fed raised interest rates by ¼ percent.  The announcement came out on Wednesday afternoon at 3:15PM, and investors reacted with little more than a yawn.  The stock market ticked up about 80 points in the last 45 minutes of the trading day.  By historical standards over the last 2 years, this movement in the market was equivalent to virtually no reaction.  The interest rate increase by the Fed was expected by investors.  The Fed has indicated that based upon current economic conditions and growth patterns, one additional rate increase is anticipated before the end of 2017.

For the first half of 2017, the housing market has been very active. Recent surveys of real estate and mortgage professionals around the country have indicated that in many parts of the country, the typical summer slow-down might be taking hold.  The housing market remains quite active, however activity has seemed to tail off slightly in many areas.

Builder sentiment reflects the recent slight slowdown in activity. The latest housing market index, which measures builder optimism, showed a slight drop from 69 to 67.  Overall, the index remains very strong so by no means is this slight drop indicative of future problems for housing.  In fact, the housing market index for future sales rose to an unusually high level of 76.

There have been more and more articles in recent weeks in which housing experts are discussing the possibility of an abnormally active Fall market. It appears that homeowners are recognizing the growth in their home equity that has taken place in the last 24 months.  Some homeowners are beginning to believe that it might be time to “take the money and run”.

In many markets around the country, more homes have come up for sale in the last 30 days. This has not necessarily translated into more inventory as homes are still selling as fast as they are listed because of all the pent-up demand.  An increase in home listing in the month of June is NOT a common occurrence.  Typically, new listings tend to decline in the summer months as schools let out and more families take their summer vacations.

Mortgage rates decline, and refinance applications tick up. For the week ending June 9th, applications for refinancing jumped 9.0 percent according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.  Purchase applications declined by a seasonally adjusted 3.0 percent.  The Memorial Day Holiday likely played a role in the slight drop for the week.

Next week there are very few reports that might influence investor decisions. Expect the stock market to remain relatively flat unless some geopolitical events impact the United States.  Next week’s potential market moving reports are:

  • Wednesday June 21st – MBA Mortgage Applications, Existing Home Sales
  • Thursday June 22nd – First Time Jobless Claims, FHFA House Price Index
  • Friday June 23rd – New Home Sales

 

As your mortgage and real estate professional, I am happy to assist you with any information you may need regarding mortgage or real estate trends. I welcome the opportunity to serve you in any way I possibly can.  Please feel free to reach me at 661-618-1789.

 

 

Home and Garden show this weekend!

If you live anywhere near the Santa Clarita Valley, come to the Home and Garden Show this weekend! It’s tons of fun, with food trucks, everything for your home and garden, and I’ll be there! It’s at Central Park with lots of parking and it’s free! If you need directions, let me know.

I’ll be at booth 203 with our American Family Funding team. I’m working the booth on Saturday from 2:00-4:00 and Sunday from 10:00-12:00. Please come by and say hi, I’d love to see you!!

Don’t forget about my book signing event on May 11th at the American Family Funding offices. A complimentary book will be given to the first 50 guests, so be sure and come early!! 5:00-7:00 PM, with wine and treats being served!

Onto the market update…

Housing data dominated the market data being released.  Tuesday launched the housing news with the Federal Housing Finance Agency report on home prices.  For the month of February, home prices increased 0.8 percent.  This was double the amount the majority of analyst’s predicted.  Adding to the positive news was January’s numbers- revised from being flat, to showing an increase of 0.2 percent.  Overall, home prices are up 6.4 percent from the same time last year.

Following the FHFA report, S&P Corelogic Case-Shiller HPI showed an increase in home prices by 0.7 percent for the 20 major cities measured.  This stronger than expected report reflects a 5.9 increase from last year, and the best spread in 2-1/2 years.

What is impressive about this latest report is some of the weakest cities in the past have shown significant improvement.  The Midwest, notably Ohio and Michigan, which have been struggling to move higher, showed price growth of 0.9 percent in Cleveland, and 0.8 percent in Detroit.

When it comes to year-on-year appreciation, nothing is beating the Pacific Northwest.  For well over a year, Seattle and Portland have been leading the country in price appreciation.  Seattle home prices are currently up by 12.1 percent from the same time last year.  Portland, Oregon is higher by 9.6 percent.

Overall home prices across the country are averaging a year-on-year increase of 5.9 percent.  Although this number is respectable, it is hard for people to be super excited about it.  The interesting dynamic about this increase is it is occurring in a low interest rate environment.  Typically, when rates are low, home appreciation can be stagnant.

Pending home sales were the only negative in this week’s housing data.  This sector showed a decline of 0.8 percent.  The only reason for the decline is the lack of available inventory.  Demand remains strong.

Rounding out this week’s housing reports was the data on new home sales.  From February’s sales of 592,000, March showed a nice increase up to 621,000.  Permits for new construction are also higher.  What is very encouraging in the latest report is the increase in new home sales did not come at the expense of reduced prices.

Prices for new homes rose a very strong 7.5 percent.  Sales are up a whopping 15.6 percent from a year ago.  More homes came on the market, however with the increase in demand, overall supply declined down to 5.2 months from 5.4 months.

Next week’s potential market moving reports are:

 

  • Monday May 1st – Construction Spending, PMI Manufacturing Index
  • Tuesday May 2nd – FOMC Meeting Begins
  • Wednesday May 3rd – FOMC Announcement, MBA Applications, ADP Employment Report
  • Thursday May 4th – First time Jobless Claims, Factory Orders
  • Friday May 5th – Employment Situation

 

As your mortgage and real estate professional, I am happy to assist you with any information you may need regarding mortgage or real estate trends.  I welcome the opportunity to serve you in any way I possibly can.  Please feel free to reach me at 661-618-1789.